Fantasy World Cup Football 2026 - Modelling Back to main site

Team page · 4 available fixtures · 4 complete

South Africa

Event probabilities index
Fixture score 60.86 weighted total
Expected goals 3.23 4 fixtures
Clean sheets 0.83 expected
Goals conceded 6.66 expected
Assists 2.91 expected
Cards risk 8.82 YC + 2RC

Fixture Outlook

MD1 · 2026-06-11 19:00

2026-06-11 19:00 Mexico vs South Africa

vs Mexico

12.98
ResultMexico 2-0 South Africa
Team actual0 GF / 2 GA
Team xG0.62
Score 12.98 weighted
xG 0.62
CS 17.8%
xGC 1.85
SOT 2.02
YC 2.59
Expected goals
0 Actual53.8%
1 33.4%
2 10.3%
3 2.1%
4 0.3%
5 0.0%
6+ 0.0%
16.36
ResultCzechia 1-1 South Africa
Team actual1 GF / 1 GA
Team xG0.94
Score 16.36 weighted
xG 0.94
CS 22.4%
xGC 1.57
SOT 2.94
YC 1.95
Expected goals
0 39.1%
1 Actual36.7%
2 17.3%
3 5.4%
4 1.3%
5 0.2%
6+ 0.0%
15.51
ResultSouth Africa 1-0 South Korea
Team actual1 GF / 0 GA
Team xG0.83
Score 15.51 weighted
xG 0.83
CS 20.2%
xGC 1.68
SOT 2.61
YC 1.74
Expected goals
0 43.6%
1 Actual36.2%
2 15.0%
3 4.2%
4 0.9%
5 0.1%
6+ 0.0%

MD4 · 2026-06-28 19:00

2026-06-28 19:00 South Africa vs Canada

vs Canada

16.01
ResultSouth Africa 0-1 Canada
Team actual0 GF / 1 GA
Team xG0.84
Score 16.01 weighted
xG 0.84
CS 22.4%
xGC 1.57
SOT 2.85
YC 2.06
Expected goals
0 Actual43.2%
1 36.3%
2 15.2%
3 4.3%
4 0.9%
5 0.2%
6+ 0.0%

Aggregate Available-Fixture Distributions

Expected goals

0 4.0%
1 12.8%
2 20.6%
3 22.2%
4 17.9%
5 11.6%
6 6.2%
7 2.9%
8 1.2%
9 0.4%
10+ 0.2%

Goals conceded

0 0.1%
1 0.8%
2 2.8%
3 6.3%
4 10.5%
5 14.0%
6 15.5%
7 14.8%
8 12.4%
9 9.2%
10+ 13.7%

Assists

0 5.5%
1 15.9%
2 23.1%
3 22.4%
4 16.3%
5 9.5%
6 4.6%
7 1.9%
8 0.7%
9 0.2%
10+ 0.1%

Clean sheet

0 39.5%
1 41.4%
2 16.2%
3+ 3.0%

Yellow cards

0 0.0%
1 0.2%
2 0.8%
3 2.3%
4 4.7%
5 7.9%
6 11.0%
7 13.2%
8 13.9%
9 13.0%
10 11.0%
11 8.3%
12+ 13.5%

Shots on target

0 0.0%
1 0.0%
2 0.2%
3 0.6%
4 1.5%
5 3.0%
6 5.3%
7 7.9%
8 10.3%
9 11.9%
10 12.4%
11 11.8%
12 10.2%
13 8.2%
14 6.1%
15 4.2%
16 2.8%
17 1.7%
18 1.0%
19 0.5%
20 0.3%
21 0.1%
22 0.1%
23 0.0%
24 0.0%
25 0.0%
26 0.0%
27 0.0%
28 0.0%
29 0.0%
30+ 0.0%