Fixture 25 · MD2 · 2026-06-18 16:00

Czechia vs South Africa

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.51 combined

Actual goals 2 Czechia 1-1 South Africa

Opportunity score 40.23 combined

Czechia 23.87 team score

South Africa 16.36 team score

Status Complete Czechia 1-1 South Africa

Czechia

Score 23.87 weighted

xG 1.57

CS 41.1%

xGC 0.94

SOT 4.92

YC 1.46

South Africa

Score 16.36 weighted

xG 0.94

CS 22.4%

xGC 1.57

SOT 2.94

YC 1.95

Czechia expected goals

0 20.8%

1 Actual32.7%

2 25.6%

3 13.4%

4 5.3%

5 1.7%

6+ 0.6%

South Africa expected goals

0 39.1%

1 Actual36.7%

2 17.3%

3 5.4%

4 1.3%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Czechia goals conceded

0 39.1%

1 36.7%

2 17.3%

3 5.4%

4 1.3%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

South Africa goals conceded

0 20.8%

1 32.7%

2 25.6%

3 13.4%

4 5.3%

5 1.7%

6+ 0.6%

Czechia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.57	79.2%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.41	75.7%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.41	41.1%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.94	60.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.00	86.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	4.92	99.3%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.55	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.63	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.46	76.8%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.17	16.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.10	10.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

South Africa scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.94	60.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.85	57.1%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.22	22.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.57	79.2%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.35	96.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.94	94.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	17.62	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.17	99.4%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.95	85.9%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.7%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.10	10.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.17	16.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.2%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box