Fixture 54 · MD3 · 2026-06-25 01:00

South Africa vs South Korea

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.51 combined

Actual goals 1 South Africa 1-0 South Korea

Opportunity score 40.90 combined

South Africa 15.51 team score

South Korea 25.40 team score

Status Complete South Africa 1-0 South Korea

South Africa

Score 15.51 weighted

xG 0.83

CS 20.2%

xGC 1.68

SOT 2.61

YC 1.74

South Korea

Score 25.40 weighted

xG 1.68

CS 45.9%

xGC 0.83

SOT 5.29

YC 1.29

South Africa expected goals

0 43.6%

1 Actual36.2%

2 15.0%

3 4.2%

4 0.9%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

South Korea expected goals

0 Actual18.6%

1 31.3%

2 26.3%

3 14.7%

4 6.2%

5 2.1%

6+ 0.8%

South Africa goals conceded

0 18.6%

1 31.3%

2 26.3%

3 14.7%

4 6.2%

5 2.1%

6+ 0.8%

South Korea goals conceded

0 43.6%

1 36.2%

2 15.0%

3 4.2%

4 0.9%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

South Africa scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.83	56.4%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.75	52.6%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.20	20.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.68	81.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.61	97.3%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.61	92.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	19.22	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.57	99.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.74	82.4%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.09	8.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.19	17.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	7.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

South Korea scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.68	81.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.51	78.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.46	45.9%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.83	56.4%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.78	83.2%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.29	99.5%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	9.49	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	9.24	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.29	72.5%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.19	17.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.09	8.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	3.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box