Fantasy World Cup Football 2026 - Modelling Back to main site

Team page · 4 available fixtures · 4 complete

Netherlands

Event probabilities index
Fixture score 116.13 weighted total
Expected goals 7.84 4 fixtures
Clean sheets 1.66 expected
Goals conceded 3.89 expected
Assists 7.07 expected
Cards risk 5.28 YC + 2RC

Fixture Outlook

MD1 · 2026-06-14 20:00

2026-06-14 20:00 Netherlands vs Japan

vs Japan

23.41
ResultNetherlands 2-2 Japan
Team actual2 GF / 2 GA
Team xG1.51
Score 23.41 weighted
xG 1.51
CS 34.8%
xGC 1.09
SOT 5.06
YC 1.36
Expected goals
0 22.1%
1 33.4%
2 Actual25.2%
3 12.7%
4 4.8%
5 1.4%
6+ 0.5%

MD2 · 2026-06-20 17:00

2026-06-20 17:00 Netherlands vs Sweden

vs Sweden

28.28
ResultNetherlands 5-1 Sweden
Team actual5 GF / 1 GA
Team xG1.96
Score 28.28 weighted
xG 1.96
CS 33.4%
xGC 1.15
SOT 5.62
YC 1.35
Expected goals
0 13.9%
1 27.5%
2 27.1%
3 17.8%
4 8.8%
5 Actual3.4%
6+ 1.6%
41.77
ResultTunisia 1-3 Netherlands
Team actual3 GF / 1 GA
Team xG3.00
Score 41.77 weighted
xG 3.00
CS 62.5%
xGC 0.54
SOT 7.65
YC 0.61
Expected goals
0 4.7%
1 14.3%
2 22.0%
3 Actual22.4%
4 17.1%
5 10.5%
6+ 9.0%
22.67
ResultNetherlands 1-1 Morocco
Team actual1 GF / 1 GA
Team xG1.36
Score 22.67 weighted
xG 1.36
CS 35.2%
xGC 1.11
SOT 4.69
YC 1.57
Expected goals
0 25.7%
1 Actual34.9%
2 23.7%
3 10.8%
4 3.7%
5 1.0%
6+ 0.3%

Aggregate Available-Fixture Distributions

Expected goals

0 0.0%
1 0.3%
2 1.2%
3 3.0%
4 6.0%
5 9.5%
6 12.5%
7 14.3%
8 14.2%
9 12.6%
10+ 26.4%

Goals conceded

0 2.0%
1 8.0%
2 15.5%
3 20.1%
4 19.5%
5 15.2%
6 9.8%
7 5.5%
8 2.7%
9 1.1%
10+ 0.7%

Assists

0 0.1%
1 0.6%
2 2.1%
3 4.9%
4 8.7%
5 12.4%
6 14.7%
7 15.0%
8 13.4%
9 10.7%
10+ 17.5%

Clean sheet

0 10.5%
1 34.2%
2 36.5%
3+ 18.7%

Yellow cards

0 0.8%
1 3.7%
2 9.0%
3 14.7%
4 17.9%
5 17.5%
6 14.3%
7 10.0%
8 6.1%
9 3.3%
10 1.6%
11 0.7%
12+ 0.4%

Shots on target

0 0.0%
1 0.0%
2 0.0%
3 0.0%
4 0.0%
5 0.0%
6 0.0%
7 0.0%
8 0.0%
9 0.0%
10 0.1%
11 0.2%
12 0.5%
13 0.8%
14 1.3%
15 2.0%
16 2.9%
17 4.0%
18 5.1%
19 6.2%
20 7.2%
21 7.9%
22 8.3%
23 8.4%
24 8.0%
25 7.4%
26 6.6%
27 5.6%
28 4.6%
29 3.7%
30+ 8.9%