Fixture 10 · MD1 · 2026-06-14 20:00

Netherlands vs Japan

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.60 combined

Actual goals 4 Netherlands 2-2 Japan

Opportunity score 41.92 combined

Netherlands 23.41 team score

Japan 18.51 team score

Status Complete Netherlands 2-2 Japan

Netherlands

Score 23.41 weighted

xG 1.51

CS 34.8%

xGC 1.09

SOT 5.06

YC 1.36

Japan

Score 18.51 weighted

xG 1.09

CS 23.8%

xGC 1.51

SOT 3.66

YC 1.56

Netherlands expected goals

0 22.1%

1 33.4%

2 Actual25.2%

3 12.7%

4 4.8%

5 1.4%

6+ 0.5%

Japan expected goals

0 33.6%

1 36.6%

2 Actual20.0%

3 7.3%

4 2.0%

5 0.4%

6+ 0.1%

Netherlands goals conceded

0 33.6%

1 36.6%

2 20.0%

3 7.3%

4 2.0%

5 0.4%

6+ 0.1%

Japan goals conceded

0 22.1%

1 33.4%

2 25.2%

3 12.7%

4 4.8%

5 1.4%

6+ 0.5%

Netherlands scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.51	77.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.36	74.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.35	34.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.09	66.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.57	92.3%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.06	99.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	11.53	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.30	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.36	74.3%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.16	15.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.12	11.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.0%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	4.1%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	3.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Japan scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.09	66.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.98	62.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.24	23.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.51	77.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.55	97.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.66	97.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	15.97	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.99	99.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.56	79.0%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.12	11.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.16	15.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.7%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	2.5%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box