Fixture 75 · MD4 · 2026-06-30 01:00

Netherlands vs Morocco

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.47 combined

Actual goals 2 Netherlands 1-1 Morocco

Opportunity score 42.64 combined

Netherlands 22.67 team score

Morocco 19.98 team score

Status Complete Netherlands 1-1 Morocco

Netherlands

Score 22.67 weighted

xG 1.36

CS 35.2%

xGC 1.11

SOT 4.69

YC 1.57

Morocco

Score 19.98 weighted

xG 1.11

CS 28.3%

xGC 1.36

SOT 3.82

YC 1.72

Netherlands expected goals

0 25.7%

1 Actual34.9%

2 23.7%

3 10.8%

4 3.7%

5 1.0%

6+ 0.3%

Morocco expected goals

0 33.0%

1 Actual36.6%

2 20.3%

3 7.5%

4 2.1%

5 0.5%

6+ 0.1%

Netherlands goals conceded

0 33.0%

1 36.6%

2 20.3%

3 7.5%

4 2.1%

5 0.5%

6+ 0.1%

Morocco goals conceded

0 25.7%

1 34.9%

2 23.7%

3 10.8%

4 3.7%

5 1.0%

6+ 0.3%

Netherlands scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.36	74.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.22	70.6%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.35	35.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.11	67.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.71	93.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	4.69	99.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	15.62	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	7.48	99.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.57	79.2%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.15	14.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.13	11.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	3.2%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Morocco scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.11	67.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.00	63.2%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.28	28.3%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.36	74.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.32	96.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.82	97.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	19.13	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	6.10	99.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.72	82.1%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.13	11.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.15	14.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	6.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	2.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box