Fixture 102 · MD7 · 2026-07-15 19:00

England vs Argentina

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.37 combined

Actual goals 3 England 1-2 Argentina

Opportunity score 39.12 combined

England 19.88 team score

Argentina 19.24 team score

Status Complete England 1-2 Argentina

England

Score 19.88 weighted

xG 1.22

CS 33.7%

xGC 1.15

SOT 4.00

YC 2.06

Argentina

Score 19.24 weighted

xG 1.15

CS 30.6%

xGC 1.22

SOT 3.77

YC 1.91

England expected goals

0 29.5%

1 Actual36.0%

2 22.0%

3 8.9%

4 2.7%

5 0.7%

6+ 0.2%

Argentina expected goals

0 31.7%

1 36.4%

2 Actual20.9%

3 8.0%

4 2.3%

5 0.5%

6+ 0.1%

England goals conceded

0 31.7%

1 36.4%

2 20.9%

3 8.0%

4 2.3%

5 0.5%

6+ 0.1%

Argentina goals conceded

0 29.5%

1 36.0%

2 22.0%

3 8.9%

4 2.7%

5 0.7%

6+ 0.2%

England scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.22	70.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.10	66.6%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.34	33.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.15	68.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.62	92.7%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	4.00	98.2%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	15.07	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	6.71	99.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	2.06	87.4%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.8%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.14	13.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.14	12.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	3.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Argentina scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.15	68.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.03	64.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.31	30.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.22	70.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.78	93.8%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.77	97.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	15.99	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	6.32	99.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.91	85.2%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.6%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.14	12.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.14	13.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	2.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box