Fixture 100 · MD6 · 2026-07-12 01:00

Argentina vs Switzerland

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.42 combined

Actual goals 4 Argentina 3-1 Switzerland

Opportunity score 41.22 combined

Argentina 25.08 team score

Switzerland 16.15 team score

Status Complete Argentina 3-1 Switzerland

Argentina

Score 25.08 weighted

xG 1.61

CS 45.9%

xGC 0.81

SOT 5.66

YC 1.46

Switzerland

Score 16.15 weighted

xG 0.81

CS 22.4%

xGC 1.61

SOT 2.85

YC 1.94

Argentina expected goals

0 20.0%

1 32.2%

2 25.9%

3 Actual13.9%

4 5.6%

5 1.8%

6+ 0.6%

Switzerland expected goals

0 44.5%

1 Actual36.0%

2 14.6%

3 3.9%

4 0.8%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Argentina goals conceded

0 44.5%

1 36.0%

2 14.6%

3 3.9%

4 0.8%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Switzerland goals conceded

0 20.0%

1 32.2%

2 25.9%

3 13.9%

4 5.6%

5 1.8%

6+ 0.6%

Argentina scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.61	80.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.45	76.5%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.46	45.9%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.81	55.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.04	87.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.66	99.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.63	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.85	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.46	76.8%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.19	17.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.09	8.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	3.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Switzerland scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.81	55.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.73	51.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.22	22.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.61	80.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.05	98.3%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.85	94.2%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	21.13	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.45	98.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.94	85.8%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.7%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.09	8.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.19	17.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	7.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box