Fixture 98 · MD6 · 2026-07-11 21:00

Norway vs England

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.04 combined

Actual goals 3 Norway 1-2 England

Opportunity score 48.33 combined

Norway 20.79 team score

England 27.54 team score

Status Complete Norway 1-2 England

Norway

Score 20.79 weighted

xG 1.21

CS 18.3%

xGC 1.83

SOT 3.82

YC 1.35

England

Score 27.54 weighted

xG 1.83

CS 31.0%

xGC 1.21

SOT 5.77

YC 1.35

Norway expected goals

0 29.8%

1 Actual36.1%

2 21.8%

3 8.8%

4 2.7%

5 0.6%

6+ 0.2%

England expected goals

0 16.0%

1 29.4%

2 Actual26.9%

3 16.4%

4 7.5%

5 2.7%

6+ 1.1%

Norway goals conceded

0 16.0%

1 29.4%

2 26.9%

3 16.4%

4 7.5%

5 2.7%

6+ 1.1%

England goals conceded

0 29.8%

1 36.1%

2 21.8%

3 8.8%

4 2.7%

5 0.6%

6+ 0.2%

Norway scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.21	70.2%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.09	66.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.18	18.3%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.83	84.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.94	98.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.82	97.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	19.14	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	6.65	99.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.35	74.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.11	10.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.17	15.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	6.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

England scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.83	84.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.65	80.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.31	31.0%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.21	70.2%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.61	92.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.77	99.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	12.65	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.06	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.35	74.1%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.17	15.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.11	10.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.05	4.5%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.5%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box