Fixture 97 · MD6 · 2026-07-09 20:00

France vs Morocco

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.64 combined

Actual goals 2 France 2-0 Morocco

Opportunity score 45.37 combined

France 27.79 team score

Morocco 17.58 team score

Status Complete France 2-0 Morocco

France

Score 27.79 weighted

xG 1.80

CS 46.4%

xGC 0.84

SOT 6.30

YC 1.53

Morocco

Score 17.58 weighted

xG 0.84

CS 18.8%

xGC 1.80

SOT 2.95

YC 1.81

France expected goals

0 16.5%

1 29.8%

2 Actual26.8%

3 16.1%

4 7.2%

5 2.6%

6+ 1.0%

Morocco expected goals

0 Actual43.2%

1 36.3%

2 15.2%

3 4.3%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

France goals conceded

0 43.2%

1 36.3%

2 15.2%

3 4.3%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Morocco goals conceded

0 16.5%

1 29.8%

2 26.8%

3 16.1%

4 7.2%

5 2.6%

6+ 1.0%

France scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.80	83.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.62	80.2%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.46	46.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.84	56.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.11	87.8%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.30	99.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	11.41	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	9.90	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.53	78.3%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.19	17.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.09	8.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.5%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	3.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Morocco scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.84	56.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.76	53.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.19	18.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.80	83.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.50	98.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.95	94.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	24.42	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.62	99.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.81	83.6%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.09	8.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.19	17.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.2%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	7.5%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box