Fixture 95 · MD5 · 2026-07-07 16:00

Argentina vs Egypt

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.68 combined

Actual goals 5 Argentina 3-2 Egypt

Opportunity score 45.10 combined

Argentina 30.60 team score

Egypt 14.50 team score

Status Complete Argentina 3-2 Egypt

Argentina

Score 30.60 weighted

xG 2.06

CS 55.7%

xGC 0.62

SOT 6.46

YC 1.16

Egypt

Score 14.50 weighted

xG 0.62

CS 14.2%

xGC 2.06

SOT 1.94

YC 1.97

Argentina expected goals

0 12.6%

1 26.1%

2 27.0%

3 Actual18.7%

4 9.7%

5 4.0%

6+ 1.9%

Egypt expected goals

0 53.8%

1 33.4%

2 Actual10.3%

3 2.1%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Argentina goals conceded

0 53.8%

1 33.4%

2 10.3%

3 2.1%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Egypt goals conceded

0 12.6%

1 26.1%

2 27.0%

3 18.7%

4 9.7%

5 4.0%

6+ 1.9%

Argentina scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.06	87.4%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.86	84.5%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.56	55.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.62	46.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.32	73.2%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.46	99.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	7.96	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	11.38	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.16	68.7%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.8%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.21	19.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.06	6.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	2.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.5%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Egypt scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.62	46.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.56	42.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.14	14.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.06	87.4%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.39	98.8%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.94	85.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	26.49	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.41	96.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.97	86.2%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.7%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.06	6.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.21	19.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	8.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box