Fixture 90 · MD5 · 2026-07-05 20:00

Brazil vs Norway

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.05 combined

Actual goals 3 Brazil 1-2 Norway

Opportunity score 48.36 combined

Brazil 28.03 team score

Norway 20.32 team score

Status Complete Brazil 1-2 Norway

Brazil

Score 28.03 weighted

xG 1.88

CS 33.0%

xGC 1.17

SOT 5.81

YC 1.58

Norway

Score 20.32 weighted

xG 1.17

CS 16.7%

xGC 1.88

SOT 3.62

YC 1.58

Brazil expected goals

0 15.3%

1 Actual28.7%

2 27.0%

3 16.9%

4 7.9%

5 3.0%

6+ 1.3%

Norway expected goals

0 31.0%

1 36.3%

2 Actual21.2%

3 8.3%

4 2.4%

5 0.6%

6+ 0.1%

Brazil goals conceded

0 31.0%

1 36.3%

2 21.2%

3 8.3%

4 2.4%

5 0.6%

6+ 0.1%

Norway goals conceded

0 15.3%

1 28.7%

2 27.0%

3 16.9%

4 7.9%

5 3.0%

6+ 1.3%

Brazil scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.88	84.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.69	81.6%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.33	33.0%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.17	69.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.45	91.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.81	99.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	12.77	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.34	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.58	79.4%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.3%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.17	15.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.11	10.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	4.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.6%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Norway scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.17	69.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.05	65.1%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.17	16.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.88	84.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.94	98.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.62	97.3%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	20.52	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	6.43	99.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.58	79.4%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.3%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.11	10.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.17	15.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	6.8%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box