Fixture 89 · MD5 · 2026-07-04 17:00

Canada vs Morocco

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.45 combined

Actual goals 3 Canada 0-3 Morocco

Opportunity score 42.79 combined

Canada 17.49 team score

Morocco 25.30 team score

Status Complete Canada 0-3 Morocco

Canada

Score 17.49 weighted

xG 0.86

CS 21.9%

xGC 1.59

SOT 2.77

YC 1.76

Morocco

Score 25.30 weighted

xG 1.59

CS 44.3%

xGC 0.86

SOT 5.11

YC 1.27

Canada expected goals

0 Actual42.3%

1 36.4%

2 15.6%

3 4.5%

4 1.0%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Morocco expected goals

0 20.4%

1 32.4%

2 25.8%

3 Actual13.7%

4 5.4%

5 1.7%

6+ 0.6%

Canada goals conceded

0 20.4%

1 32.4%

2 25.8%

3 13.7%

4 5.4%

5 1.7%

6+ 0.6%

Morocco goals conceded

0 42.3%

1 36.4%

2 15.6%

3 4.5%

4 1.0%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Canada scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.86	57.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.77	53.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.22	21.9%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.59	79.6%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.52	97.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.77	93.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	23.50	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.73	99.1%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.76	82.8%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.10	9.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.18	16.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.0%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	7.1%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Morocco scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.59	79.6%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.43	76.1%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.44	44.3%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.86	57.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.91	85.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.11	99.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	12.72	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.74	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.27	71.9%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.18	16.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.10	9.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.7%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	3.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.8%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box