Fixture 88 · MD4 · 2026-07-03 03:00

Switzerland vs Algeria

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.49 combined

Actual goals 2 Switzerland 2-0 Algeria

Opportunity score 42.32 combined

Switzerland 24.08 team score

Algeria 18.24 team score

Status Complete Switzerland 2-0 Algeria

Switzerland

Score 24.08 weighted

xG 1.51

CS 39.1%

xGC 0.98

SOT 5.35

YC 1.35

Algeria

Score 18.24 weighted

xG 0.98

CS 24.4%

xGC 1.51

SOT 3.48

YC 1.53

Switzerland expected goals

0 22.1%

1 33.4%

2 Actual25.2%

3 12.7%

4 4.8%

5 1.4%

6+ 0.5%

Algeria expected goals

0 Actual37.5%

1 36.8%

2 18.0%

3 5.9%

4 1.4%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.1%

Switzerland goals conceded

0 37.5%

1 36.8%

2 18.0%

3 5.9%

4 1.4%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.1%

Algeria goals conceded

0 22.1%

1 33.4%

2 25.2%

3 12.7%

4 4.8%

5 1.4%

6+ 0.5%

Switzerland scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.51	77.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.36	74.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.39	39.1%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.98	62.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.50	91.8%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.35	99.5%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	12.24	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.30	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.35	74.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.17	15.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.11	10.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	4.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.6%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Algeria scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.98	62.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.88	58.6%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.24	24.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.51	77.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.84	97.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.48	96.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	18.85	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.39	99.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.53	78.3%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.11	10.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.17	15.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	6.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box