Fixture 87 · MD4 · 2026-07-02 19:00

Spain vs Austria

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.03 combined

Actual goals 3 Spain 3-0 Austria

Opportunity score 48.06 combined

Spain 33.51 team score

Austria 14.55 team score

Status Complete Spain 3-0 Austria

Spain

Score 33.51 weighted

xG 2.34

CS 51.5%

xGC 0.69

SOT 6.59

YC 0.92

Austria

Score 14.55 weighted

xG 0.69

CS 11.5%

xGC 2.34

SOT 1.94

YC 1.56

Spain expected goals

0 9.5%

1 22.4%

2 26.3%

3 Actual20.6%

4 12.1%

5 5.7%

6+ 3.3%

Austria expected goals

0 Actual50.2%

1 34.6%

2 11.9%

3 2.7%

4 0.5%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Spain goals conceded

0 50.2%

1 34.6%

2 11.9%

3 2.7%

4 0.5%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Austria goals conceded

0 9.5%

1 22.4%

2 26.3%

3 20.6%

4 12.1%

5 5.7%

6+ 3.3%

Spain scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.34	90.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	2.11	87.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.51	51.5%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.69	49.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.25	71.3%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.59	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	7.15	99.9%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	12.90	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	0.92	60.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.21	19.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.06	6.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	2.8%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.5%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Austria scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.69	49.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.62	46.3%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.12	11.5%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.34	90.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.25	98.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.94	85.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	24.32	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.79	97.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.56	79.0%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.06	6.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.21	19.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.10	9.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box