Fixture 86 · MD4 · 2026-07-04 01:30

Colombia vs Ghana

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.58 combined

Actual goals 1 Colombia 1-0 Ghana

Opportunity score 43.21 combined

Colombia 28.40 team score

Ghana 14.81 team score

Status Complete Colombia 1-0 Ghana

Colombia

Score 28.40 weighted

xG 1.90

CS 53.0%

xGC 0.68

SOT 5.95

YC 1.15

Ghana

Score 14.81 weighted

xG 0.68

CS 16.3%

xGC 1.90

SOT 2.13

YC 1.55

Colombia expected goals

0 15.0%

1 Actual28.4%

2 27.0%

3 17.1%

4 8.1%

5 3.1%

6+ 1.3%

Ghana expected goals

0 Actual50.7%

1 34.4%

2 11.7%

3 2.7%

4 0.5%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Colombia goals conceded

0 50.7%

1 34.4%

2 11.7%

3 2.7%

4 0.5%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Ghana goals conceded

0 15.0%

1 28.4%

2 27.0%

3 17.1%

4 8.1%

5 3.1%

6+ 1.3%

Colombia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.90	85.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.71	81.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.53	53.0%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.68	49.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.45	76.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.95	99.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	8.37	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.45	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.15	68.3%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.8%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.20	18.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.07	7.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.2%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Ghana scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.68	49.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.61	45.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.16	16.3%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.90	85.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.05	98.3%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.13	88.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	23.36	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.74	97.6%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.55	78.8%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.07	7.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.20	18.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.10	9.1%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.6%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box