Fixture 83 · MD4 · 2026-07-01 16:00

England vs Congo DR

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.57 combined

Actual goals 3 England 2-1 Congo DR

Opportunity score 43.26 combined

England 30.52 team score

Congo DR 12.74 team score

Status Complete England 2-1 Congo DR

England

Score 30.52 weighted

xG 2.05

CS 61.1%

xGC 0.52

SOT 6.69

YC 0.95

Congo DR

Score 12.74 weighted

xG 0.52

CS 14.7%

xGC 2.05

SOT 1.69

YC 1.83

England expected goals

0 12.7%

1 26.3%

2 Actual27.0%

3 18.6%

4 9.6%

5 3.9%

6+ 1.9%

Congo DR expected goals

0 59.5%

1 Actual30.9%

2 8.0%

3 1.4%

4 0.2%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

England goals conceded

0 59.5%

1 30.9%

2 8.0%

3 1.4%

4 0.2%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Congo DR goals conceded

0 12.7%

1 26.3%

2 27.0%

3 18.6%

4 9.6%

5 3.9%

6+ 1.9%

England scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.05	87.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.85	84.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.61	61.1%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.52	40.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.17	69.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.69	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	6.16	99.8%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	11.32	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	0.95	61.3%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.22	20.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.0%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	2.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Congo DR scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.52	40.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.47	37.4%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.15	14.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.05	87.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.63	99.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.69	81.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	24.38	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	2.86	94.3%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.83	84.0%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.06	5.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.22	20.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.7%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.10	9.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.2%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box