Fixture 81 · MD4 · 2026-07-03 18:00

Australia vs Egypt

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.16 combined

Actual goals 2 Australia 1-1 Egypt

Opportunity score 38.64 combined

Australia 18.10 team score

Egypt 20.54 team score

Status Complete Australia 1-1 Egypt

Australia

Score 18.10 weighted

xG 0.96

CS 31.7%

xGC 1.20

SOT 3.17

YC 1.56

Egypt

Score 20.54 weighted

xG 1.20

CS 41.1%

xGC 0.96

SOT 3.96

YC 1.56

Australia expected goals

0 38.3%

1 Actual36.8%

2 17.6%

3 5.6%

4 1.4%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.0%

Egypt expected goals

0 30.1%

1 Actual36.1%

2 21.7%

3 8.7%

4 2.6%

5 0.6%

6+ 0.2%

Australia goals conceded

0 30.1%

1 36.1%

2 21.7%

3 8.7%

4 2.6%

5 0.6%

6+ 0.2%

Egypt goals conceded

0 38.3%

1 36.8%

2 17.6%

3 5.6%

4 1.4%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.0%

Australia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.96	61.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.86	57.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.32	31.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.20	69.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.76	93.7%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.17	95.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	18.88	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.28	99.5%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.56	79.0%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.12	11.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.15	14.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	6.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	2.6%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Egypt scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.20	69.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.08	66.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.41	41.1%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.96	61.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.21	89.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.96	98.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	15.10	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	6.60	99.9%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.56	79.0%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.15	14.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.12	11.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	3.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box