Fixture 80 · MD4 · 2026-07-03 22:00

Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.10 combined

Actual goals 5 Argentina 3-2 Cape Verde Islands

Opportunity score 49.39 combined

Argentina 37.21 team score

Cape Verde Islands 12.19 team score

Status Complete Argentina 3-2 Cape Verde Islands

Argentina

Score 37.21 weighted

xG 2.62

CS 66.6%

xGC 0.48

SOT 7.10

YC 0.90

Cape Verde Islands

Score 12.19 weighted

xG 0.48

CS 9.2%

xGC 2.62

SOT 1.29

YC 1.91

Argentina expected goals

0 7.1%

1 18.7%

2 24.8%

3 Actual21.9%

4 14.5%

5 7.7%

6+ 5.3%

Cape Verde Islands expected goals

0 61.9%

1 29.7%

2 Actual7.1%

3 1.1%

4 0.1%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Argentina goals conceded

0 61.9%

1 29.7%

2 7.1%

3 1.1%

4 0.1%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Cape Verde Islands goals conceded

0 7.1%

1 18.7%

2 24.8%

3 21.9%

4 14.5%

5 7.7%

6+ 5.3%

Argentina scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.62	92.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	2.37	90.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.67	66.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.48	38.1%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	0.81	55.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	7.10	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	5.02	99.3%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	14.48	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	0.90	59.3%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.24	21.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.04	4.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	0.7%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.02	2.1%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	5.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Cape Verde Islands scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.48	38.1%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.43	35.1%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.09	9.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.62	92.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.47	98.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.29	72.5%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	27.56	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	2.64	92.9%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.91	85.2%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.6%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.04	4.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.24	21.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.12	11.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	0.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box