Fixture 77 · MD4 · 2026-06-30 17:00

Ivory Coast vs Norway

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.76 combined

Actual goals 3 Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway

Opportunity score 46.13 combined

Ivory Coast 20.99 team score

Norway 25.13 team score

Status Complete Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway

Ivory Coast

Score 20.99 weighted

xG 1.19

CS 22.8%

xGC 1.57

SOT 3.72

YC 1.45

Norway

Score 25.13 weighted

xG 1.57

CS 31.6%

xGC 1.19

SOT 4.90

YC 1.22

Ivory Coast expected goals

0 30.4%

1 Actual36.2%

2 21.5%

3 8.5%

4 2.5%

5 0.6%

6+ 0.1%

Norway expected goals

0 20.8%

1 32.7%

2 Actual25.6%

3 13.4%

4 5.3%

5 1.7%

6+ 0.6%

Ivory Coast goals conceded

0 20.8%

1 32.7%

2 25.6%

3 13.4%

4 5.3%

5 1.7%

6+ 0.6%

Norway goals conceded

0 30.4%

1 36.2%

2 21.5%

3 8.5%

4 2.5%

5 0.6%

6+ 0.1%

Ivory Coast scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.19	69.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.07	65.7%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.23	22.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.57	79.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.33	96.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.72	97.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	20.12	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	6.54	99.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.45	76.5%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.12	11.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.16	14.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.7%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	6.5%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	2.6%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Norway scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.57	79.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.41	75.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.32	31.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.19	69.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.53	92.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	4.90	99.3%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	15.25	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.63	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.22	70.5%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.8%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.16	14.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.12	11.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.0%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	3.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box