Fixture 76 · MD4 · 2026-07-02 00:00

USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.05 combined

Actual goals 2 USA 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Opportunity score 47.80 combined

USA 32.34 team score

Bosnia & Herzegovina 15.47 team score

Status Complete USA 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina

USA

Score 32.34 weighted

xG 2.24

CS 46.4%

xGC 0.81

SOT 6.21

YC 0.92

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Score 15.47 weighted

xG 0.81

CS 12.6%

xGC 2.24

SOT 2.24

YC 1.97

USA expected goals

0 10.5%

1 23.7%

2 Actual26.7%

3 20.0%

4 11.3%

5 5.1%

6+ 2.7%

Bosnia & Herzegovina expected goals

0 Actual44.5%

1 36.0%

2 14.6%

3 3.9%

4 0.8%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

USA goals conceded

0 44.5%

1 36.0%

2 14.6%

3 3.9%

4 0.8%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Bosnia & Herzegovina goals conceded

0 10.5%

1 23.7%

2 26.7%

3 20.0%

4 11.3%

5 5.1%

6+ 2.7%

USA scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.24	89.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	2.02	86.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.46	46.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.81	55.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.43	76.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.21	99.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	8.48	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	12.36	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	0.92	60.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.20	18.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.07	7.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Bosnia & Herzegovina scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.81	55.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.73	51.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.13	12.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.24	89.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.96	98.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.24	89.3%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	23.54	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.45	98.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.97	86.2%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.7%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.07	7.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.20	18.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	8.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.6%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box