Fixture 72 · MD3 · 2026-06-28 02:00

Algeria vs Austria

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 1.89 combined

Actual goals 6 Algeria 3-3 Austria

Opportunity score 36.27 combined

Algeria 18.38 team score

Austria 17.89 team score

Status Complete Algeria 3-3 Austria

Algeria

Score 18.38 weighted

xG 0.95

CS 40.7%

xGC 0.94

SOT 3.68

YC 1.18

Austria

Score 17.89 weighted

xG 0.94

CS 39.8%

xGC 0.95

SOT 3.64

YC 1.53

Algeria expected goals

0 38.7%

1 36.7%

2 17.5%

3 Actual5.5%

4 1.3%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Austria expected goals

0 39.1%

1 36.7%

2 17.3%

3 Actual5.4%

4 1.3%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Algeria goals conceded

0 39.1%

1 36.7%

2 17.3%

3 5.4%

4 1.3%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Austria goals conceded

0 38.7%

1 36.7%

2 17.5%

3 5.5%

4 1.3%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Algeria scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.95	61.3%	Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.85	57.5%	Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.41	40.7%	Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.94	60.9%	Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.70	93.3%	Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.68	97.5%	Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	16.12	100.0%	Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.23	99.5%	Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.18	69.3%	Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.8%	Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.14	13.1%	Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.14	13.0%	Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.3%	Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.7%	Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	3.0%	Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Austria scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.94	60.9%	Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.85	57.1%	Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.40	39.8%	Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.95	61.3%	Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.73	93.5%	Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.64	97.4%	Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	16.30	100.0%	Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.17	99.4%	Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.53	78.3%	Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.2%	Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.14	13.0%	Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.14	13.1%	Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.4%	Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.7%	Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	2.9%	Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box