Fixture 70 · MD3 · 2026-06-27 23:30

Congo DR vs Uzbekistan

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.45 combined

Actual goals 4 Congo DR 3-1 Uzbekistan

Opportunity score 39.83 combined

Congo DR 24.45 team score

Uzbekistan 15.38 team score

Status Complete Congo DR 3-1 Uzbekistan

Congo DR

Score 24.45 weighted

xG 1.61

CS 45.2%

xGC 0.84

SOT 5.14

YC 1.42

Uzbekistan

Score 15.38 weighted

xG 0.84

CS 22.4%

xGC 1.61

SOT 2.68

YC 2.00

Congo DR expected goals

0 20.0%

1 32.2%

2 25.9%

3 Actual13.9%

4 5.6%

5 1.8%

6+ 0.6%

Uzbekistan expected goals

0 43.2%

1 Actual36.3%

2 15.2%

3 4.3%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Congo DR goals conceded

0 43.2%

1 36.3%

2 15.2%

3 4.3%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Uzbekistan goals conceded

0 20.0%

1 32.2%

2 25.9%

3 13.9%

4 5.6%

5 1.8%

6+ 0.6%

Congo DR scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.61	80.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.45	76.5%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.45	45.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.84	56.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.84	84.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.14	99.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	9.80	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.85	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.42	75.8%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.18	16.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.10	9.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	4.1%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Uzbekistan scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.84	56.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.76	53.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.22	22.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.61	80.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.53	97.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.68	93.2%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	18.77	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.62	99.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	2.00	86.6%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.7%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.10	9.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.18	16.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	7.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box