Fixture 69 · MD3 · 2026-06-27 23:30

Colombia vs Portugal

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.95 combined

Actual goals 0 Colombia 0-0 Portugal

Opportunity score 46.30 combined

Colombia 20.81 team score

Portugal 25.49 team score

Status Complete Colombia 0-0 Portugal

Colombia

Score 20.81 weighted

xG 1.27

CS 20.7%

xGC 1.68

SOT 3.82

YC 1.59

Portugal

Score 25.49 weighted

xG 1.68

CS 31.0%

xGC 1.27

SOT 5.06

YC 1.46

Colombia expected goals

0 Actual28.1%

1 35.7%

2 22.6%

3 9.6%

4 3.0%

5 0.8%

6+ 0.2%

Portugal expected goals

0 Actual18.6%

1 31.3%

2 26.3%

3 14.7%

4 6.2%

5 2.1%

6+ 0.8%

Colombia goals conceded

0 18.6%

1 31.3%

2 26.3%

3 14.7%

4 6.2%

5 2.1%

6+ 0.8%

Portugal goals conceded

0 28.1%

1 35.7%

2 22.6%

3 9.6%

4 3.0%

5 0.8%

6+ 0.2%

Colombia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.27	71.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.14	68.1%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.21	20.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.68	81.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.38	96.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.82	97.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	17.59	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	6.98	99.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.59	79.6%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.3%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.12	11.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.16	14.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.7%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	6.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	2.5%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Portugal scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.68	81.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.51	78.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.31	31.0%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.27	71.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.55	92.2%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.06	99.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	13.30	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	9.24	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.46	76.8%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.16	14.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.12	11.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.0%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.05	4.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	3.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box