Fixture 68 · MD3 · 2026-06-27 21:00

Croatia vs Ghana

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.35 combined

Actual goals 3 Croatia 2-1 Ghana

Opportunity score 40.24 combined

Croatia 23.83 team score

Ghana 16.40 team score

Status Complete Croatia 2-1 Ghana

Croatia

Score 23.83 weighted

xG 1.52

CS 43.6%

xGC 0.83

SOT 5.04

YC 1.28

Ghana

Score 16.40 weighted

xG 0.83

CS 24.7%

xGC 1.52

SOT 2.75

YC 1.50

Croatia expected goals

0 21.9%

1 33.2%

2 Actual25.3%

3 12.8%

4 4.9%

5 1.5%

6+ 0.5%

Ghana expected goals

0 43.6%

1 Actual36.2%

2 15.0%

3 4.2%

4 0.9%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Croatia goals conceded

0 43.6%

1 36.2%

2 15.0%

3 4.2%

4 0.9%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Ghana goals conceded

0 21.9%

1 33.2%

2 25.3%

3 12.8%

4 4.9%

5 1.5%

6+ 0.5%

Croatia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.52	78.1%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.37	74.5%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.44	43.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.83	56.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.92	85.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.04	99.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.90	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.36	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.28	72.2%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.18	16.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.10	9.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.7%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	4.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.8%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Ghana scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.83	56.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.75	52.6%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.25	24.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.52	78.1%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.52	97.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.75	93.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	19.97	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.57	99.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.50	77.7%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.10	9.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.18	16.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.0%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	7.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box