Fixture 67 · MD3 · 2026-06-27 21:00

Panama vs England

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.56 combined

Actual goals 2 Panama 0-2 England

Opportunity score 53.75 combined

Panama 13.78 team score

England 39.97 team score

Status Complete Panama 0-2 England

Panama

Score 13.78 weighted

xG 0.68

CS 6.4%

xGC 2.88

SOT 1.74

YC 1.77

England

Score 39.97 weighted

xG 2.88

CS 54.2%

xGC 0.68

SOT 7.43

YC 0.77

Panama expected goals

0 Actual50.7%

1 34.4%

2 11.7%

3 2.7%

4 0.5%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

England expected goals

0 5.4%

1 15.7%

2 Actual23.0%

3 22.4%

4 16.3%

5 9.5%

6+ 7.6%

Panama goals conceded

0 5.4%

1 15.7%

2 23.0%

3 22.4%

4 16.3%

5 9.5%

6+ 7.6%

England goals conceded

0 50.7%

1 34.4%

2 11.7%

3 2.7%

4 0.5%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Panama scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.68	49.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.61	45.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.06	6.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	2.88	94.6%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.54	98.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.74	82.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	25.51	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.74	97.6%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.77	83.0%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.05	5.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.23	20.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.13	12.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

England scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.88	94.6%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	2.60	92.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.54	54.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.68	49.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.06	65.3%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	7.43	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	5.95	99.7%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	15.82	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	0.77	53.7%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.04	4.3%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.23	20.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	0.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.8%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box