Fixture 65 · MD3 · 2026-06-27 03:00

New Zealand vs Belgium

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.93 combined

Actual goals 6 New Zealand 1-5 Belgium

Opportunity score 57.65 combined

New Zealand 16.35 team score

Belgium 41.30 team score

Status Complete New Zealand 1-5 Belgium

New Zealand

Score 16.35 weighted

xG 0.91

CS 5.1%

xGC 3.02

SOT 2.25

YC 1.47

Belgium

Score 41.30 weighted

xG 3.02

CS 45.0%

xGC 0.91

SOT 7.56

YC 0.97

New Zealand expected goals

0 40.3%

1 Actual36.6%

2 16.7%

3 5.1%

4 1.2%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Belgium expected goals

0 4.6%

1 14.2%

2 21.8%

3 22.4%

4 17.2%

5 Actual10.6%

6+ 9.2%

New Zealand goals conceded

0 4.6%

1 14.2%

2 21.8%

3 22.4%

4 17.2%

5 10.6%

6+ 9.2%

Belgium goals conceded

0 40.3%

1 36.6%

2 16.7%

3 5.1%

4 1.2%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

New Zealand scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.91	59.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.82	55.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.05	5.1%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	3.02	95.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.51	98.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.25	89.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	24.06	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.00	99.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.47	77.0%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.06	6.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.21	19.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.10	9.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Belgium scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	3.02	95.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	2.74	93.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.45	45.0%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.91	59.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.34	73.7%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	7.56	100.0%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	7.11	99.9%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	16.55	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	0.97	62.1%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.6%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.21	19.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.06	6.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.5%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box