Fixture 63 · MD3 · 2026-06-27 00:00

Uruguay vs Spain

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.41 combined

Actual goals 1 Uruguay 0-1 Spain

Opportunity score 42.22 combined

Uruguay 16.48 team score

Spain 25.74 team score

Status Complete Uruguay 0-1 Spain

Uruguay

Score 16.48 weighted

xG 0.79

CS 21.4%

xGC 1.62

SOT 3.07

YC 1.76

Spain

Score 25.74 weighted

xG 1.62

CS 46.4%

xGC 0.79

SOT 6.28

YC 1.30

Uruguay expected goals

0 Actual45.4%

1 35.9%

2 14.2%

3 3.7%

4 0.7%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Spain expected goals

0 19.8%

1 Actual32.1%

2 26.0%

3 14.0%

4 5.7%

5 1.8%

6+ 0.6%

Uruguay goals conceded

0 19.8%

1 32.1%

2 26.0%

3 14.0%

4 5.7%

5 1.8%

6+ 0.6%

Spain goals conceded

0 45.4%

1 35.9%

2 14.2%

3 3.7%

4 0.7%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Uruguay scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.79	54.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.71	50.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.21	21.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.62	80.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.66	99.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.07	95.3%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	21.51	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.35	98.7%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.76	82.8%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.09	8.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.19	17.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	7.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Spain scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.62	80.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.46	76.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.46	46.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.79	54.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.28	89.8%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.28	99.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.49	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.91	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.30	72.7%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.19	17.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.09	8.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.5%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	3.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box