Fixture 61 · MD3 · 2026-06-26 19:00

Norway vs France

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.29 combined

Actual goals 5 Norway 1-4 France

Opportunity score 51.35 combined

Norway 18.41 team score

France 32.94 team score

Status Complete Norway 1-4 France

Norway

Score 18.41 weighted

xG 0.98

CS 14.8%

xGC 2.31

SOT 2.79

YC 1.04

France

Score 32.94 weighted

xG 2.31

CS 35.7%

xGC 0.98

SOT 6.60

YC 1.04

Norway expected goals

0 37.5%

1 Actual36.8%

2 18.0%

3 5.9%

4 1.4%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.1%

France expected goals

0 9.8%

1 22.8%

2 26.4%

3 20.5%

4 Actual11.9%

5 5.5%

6+ 3.1%

Norway goals conceded

0 9.8%

1 22.8%

2 26.4%

3 20.5%

4 11.9%

5 5.5%

6+ 3.1%

France goals conceded

0 37.5%

1 36.8%

2 18.0%

3 5.9%

4 1.4%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.1%

Norway scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.98	62.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.88	58.6%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.15	14.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	2.31	90.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.29	98.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.79	93.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	22.18	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.39	99.5%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.04	64.7%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.6%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.08	8.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.20	17.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	7.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.8%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

France scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.31	90.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	2.08	87.6%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.36	35.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.98	62.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.81	83.7%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.60	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	9.37	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	12.74	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.04	64.7%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.6%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.20	17.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.08	8.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box