Fixture 60 · MD3 · 2026-06-26 02:00

Paraguay vs Australia

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 1.96 combined

Actual goals 0 Paraguay 0-0 Australia

Opportunity score 36.36 combined

Paraguay 19.30 team score

Australia 17.06 team score

Status Complete Paraguay 0-0 Australia

Paraguay

Score 19.30 weighted

xG 1.08

CS 44.2%

xGC 0.88

SOT 3.90

YC 1.25

Australia

Score 17.06 weighted

xG 0.88

CS 34.3%

xGC 1.08

SOT 3.17

YC 1.35

Paraguay expected goals

0 Actual34.0%

1 36.7%

2 19.8%

3 7.1%

4 1.9%

5 0.4%

6+ 0.1%

Australia expected goals

0 Actual41.5%

1 36.5%

2 16.1%

3 4.7%

4 1.0%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Paraguay goals conceded

0 41.5%

1 36.5%

2 16.1%

3 4.7%

4 1.0%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Australia goals conceded

0 34.0%

1 36.7%

2 19.8%

3 7.1%

4 1.9%

5 0.4%

6+ 0.1%

Paraguay scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.08	66.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.97	62.2%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.44	44.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.88	58.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.29	89.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.90	98.0%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	13.87	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.94	99.7%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.25	71.3%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.15	14.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.13	11.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	4.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	3.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Australia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.88	58.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.79	54.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.34	34.3%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.08	66.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.82	94.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.17	95.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	17.03	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.84	99.2%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.35	74.1%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.13	11.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.15	14.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.05	4.8%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	2.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box