Fixture 59 · MD3 · 2026-06-26 02:00

Türkiye vs USA

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.17 combined

Actual goals 5 Türkiye 3-2 USA

Opportunity score 48.76 combined

Türkiye 21.05 team score

USA 27.71 team score

Status Complete Türkiye 3-2 USA

Türkiye

Score 21.05 weighted

xG 1.26

CS 17.4%

xGC 1.91

SOT 3.38

YC 1.09

USA

Score 27.71 weighted

xG 1.91

CS 29.0%

xGC 1.26

SOT 5.12

YC 1.46

Türkiye expected goals

0 28.4%

1 35.7%

2 22.5%

3 Actual9.5%

4 3.0%

5 0.8%

6+ 0.2%

USA expected goals

0 14.8%

1 28.3%

2 Actual27.0%

3 17.2%

4 8.2%

5 3.1%

6+ 1.4%

Türkiye goals conceded

0 14.8%

1 28.3%

2 27.0%

3 17.2%

4 8.2%

5 3.1%

6+ 1.4%

USA goals conceded

0 28.4%

1 35.7%

2 22.5%

3 9.5%

4 3.0%

5 0.8%

6+ 0.2%

Türkiye scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.26	71.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.13	67.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.17	17.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.91	85.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.21	96.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.38	96.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	19.18	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	6.93	99.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.09	66.4%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.7%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.11	10.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.17	15.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	7.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

USA scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.91	85.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.72	82.1%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.29	29.0%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.26	71.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.12	88.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.12	99.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	12.66	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.50	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.46	76.8%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.17	15.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.11	10.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.6%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box