Fixture 56 · MD3 · 2026-06-25 20:00

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.43 combined

Actual goals 2 Curaçao 0-2 Ivory Coast

Opportunity score 54.08 combined

Curaçao 14.73 team score

Ivory Coast 39.35 team score

Status Complete Curaçao 0-2 Ivory Coast

Curaçao

Score 14.73 weighted

xG 0.66

CS 7.4%

xGC 2.77

SOT 1.85

YC 1.96

Ivory Coast

Score 39.35 weighted

xG 2.77

CS 55.9%

xGC 0.66

SOT 7.81

YC 0.80

Curaçao expected goals

0 Actual51.7%

1 34.1%

2 11.3%

3 2.5%

4 0.4%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Ivory Coast expected goals

0 6.0%

1 16.9%

2 Actual23.8%

3 22.3%

4 15.6%

5 8.8%

6+ 6.6%

Curaçao goals conceded

0 6.0%

1 16.9%

2 23.8%

3 22.3%

4 15.6%

5 8.8%

6+ 6.6%

Ivory Coast goals conceded

0 51.7%

1 34.1%

2 11.3%

3 2.5%

4 0.4%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Curaçao scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.66	48.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.59	44.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.07	7.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	2.77	94.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	5.04	99.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.85	84.3%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	28.37	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.63	97.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.96	86.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.7%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.05	5.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.23	20.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.11	10.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Ivory Coast scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.77	94.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	2.51	92.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.56	55.9%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.66	48.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.19	69.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	7.81	100.0%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	6.72	99.9%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	15.28	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	0.80	55.1%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.04	4.4%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.23	20.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	0.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	2.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box