Fixture 53 · MD3 · 2026-06-25 01:00

Czechia vs Mexico

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.66 combined

Actual goals 3 Czechia 0-3 Mexico

Opportunity score 41.62 combined

Czechia 16.95 team score

Mexico 24.67 team score

Status Complete Czechia 0-3 Mexico

Czechia

Score 16.95 weighted

xG 1.01

CS 21.2%

xGC 1.65

SOT 2.85

YC 1.79

Mexico

Score 24.67 weighted

xG 1.65

CS 38.3%

xGC 1.01

SOT 4.65

YC 1.23

Czechia expected goals

0 Actual36.4%

1 36.8%

2 18.6%

3 6.3%

4 1.6%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.1%

Mexico expected goals

0 19.2%

1 31.7%

2 26.1%

3 Actual14.4%

4 5.9%

5 2.0%

6+ 0.7%

Czechia goals conceded

0 19.2%

1 31.7%

2 26.1%

3 14.4%

4 5.9%

5 2.0%

6+ 0.7%

Mexico goals conceded

0 36.4%

1 36.8%

2 18.6%

3 6.3%

4 1.6%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.1%

Czechia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.01	63.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.91	59.7%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.21	21.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.65	80.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.00	95.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.85	94.2%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	17.39	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.55	99.6%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.79	83.3%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.11	10.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.17	15.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	6.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Mexico scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.65	80.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.48	77.3%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.38	38.3%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.01	63.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.84	84.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	4.65	99.0%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.64	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	9.07	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.23	70.8%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.17	15.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.11	10.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	4.1%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box