Fixture 52 · MD3 · 2026-06-24 22:00

Morocco vs Haiti

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.25 combined

Actual goals 6 Morocco 4-2 Haiti

Opportunity score 51.15 combined

Morocco 37.88 team score

Haiti 13.27 team score

Status Complete Morocco 4-2 Haiti

Morocco

Score 37.88 weighted

xG 2.66

CS 58.0%

xGC 0.59

SOT 7.35

YC 0.58

Haiti

Score 13.27 weighted

xG 0.59

CS 9.2%

xGC 2.66

SOT 1.62

YC 1.88

Morocco expected goals

0 6.8%

1 18.3%

2 24.6%

3 22.0%

4 Actual14.8%

5 8.0%

6+ 5.6%

Haiti expected goals

0 55.4%

1 32.7%

2 Actual9.6%

3 1.9%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Morocco goals conceded

0 55.4%

1 32.7%

2 9.6%

3 1.9%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Haiti goals conceded

0 6.8%

1 18.3%

2 24.6%

3 22.0%

4 14.8%

5 8.0%

6+ 5.6%

Morocco scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.66	93.2%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	2.40	91.1%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.58	58.0%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.59	44.6%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.03	64.3%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	7.35	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	5.79	99.7%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	14.68	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	0.58	44.0%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.04	4.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.23	20.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	0.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.02	2.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.8%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Haiti scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.59	44.6%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.53	41.2%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.09	9.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.66	93.2%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.69	99.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.62	80.2%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	26.32	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.25	96.1%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.88	84.7%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.6%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.05	4.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.23	20.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.11	10.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box