Fixture 51 · MD3 · 2026-06-24 22:00

Scotland vs Brazil

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.85 combined

Actual goals 3 Scotland 0-3 Brazil

Opportunity score 46.72 combined

Scotland 14.70 team score

Brazil 32.02 team score

Status Complete Scotland 0-3 Brazil

Scotland

Score 14.70 weighted

xG 0.65

CS 13.6%

xGC 2.20

SOT 1.96

YC 1.62

Brazil

Score 32.02 weighted

xG 2.20

CS 55.2%

xGC 0.65

SOT 6.65

YC 1.20

Scotland expected goals

0 Actual52.2%

1 33.9%

2 11.0%

3 2.4%

4 0.4%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Brazil expected goals

0 11.0%

1 24.2%

2 26.8%

3 Actual19.7%

4 10.9%

5 4.8%

6+ 2.5%

Scotland goals conceded

0 11.0%

1 24.2%

2 26.8%

3 19.7%

4 10.9%

5 4.8%

6+ 2.5%

Brazil goals conceded

0 52.2%

1 33.9%

2 11.0%

3 2.4%

4 0.4%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Scotland scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.65	47.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.58	44.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.14	13.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	2.20	89.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.44	98.8%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.96	85.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	25.38	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.58	97.2%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.62	80.2%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.3%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.06	6.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.21	19.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	9.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Brazil scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.20	89.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.98	86.3%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.55	55.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.65	47.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.31	73.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.65	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	7.48	99.9%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	12.14	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.20	69.9%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.8%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.21	19.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.06	6.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	2.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.5%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box