Fixture 50 · MD3 · 2026-06-24 19:00

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.22 combined

Actual goals 4 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3-1 Qatar

Opportunity score 47.79 combined

Bosnia & Herzegovina 32.25 team score

Qatar 15.54 team score

Status Complete Bosnia & Herzegovina 3-1 Qatar

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Score 32.25 weighted

xG 2.33

CS 43.6%

xGC 0.89

SOT 5.88

YC 1.58

Qatar

Score 15.54 weighted

xG 0.89

CS 12.5%

xGC 2.33

SOT 2.24

YC 2.08

Bosnia & Herzegovina expected goals

0 9.6%

1 22.5%

2 26.4%

3 Actual20.6%

4 12.0%

5 5.6%

6+ 3.2%

Qatar expected goals

0 41.1%

1 Actual36.5%

2 16.3%

3 4.8%

4 1.1%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Bosnia & Herzegovina goals conceded

0 41.1%

1 36.5%

2 16.3%

3 4.8%

4 1.1%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Qatar goals conceded

0 9.6%

1 22.5%

2 26.4%

3 20.6%

4 12.0%

5 5.6%

6+ 3.2%

Bosnia & Herzegovina scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.33	90.4%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	2.10	87.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.44	43.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.89	58.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.35	74.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.88	99.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	8.37	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	12.84	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.58	79.4%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.3%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.20	18.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.08	7.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	3.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Qatar scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.89	58.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.80	55.1%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.13	12.5%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.33	90.4%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.55	97.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.24	89.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	22.00	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.89	99.3%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	2.08	87.6%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.8%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.08	7.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.20	18.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.10	9.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.6%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box