Fixture 49 · MD3 · 2026-06-24 19:00

Switzerland vs Canada

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.44 combined

Actual goals 3 Switzerland 2-1 Canada

Opportunity score 42.15 combined

Switzerland 22.04 team score

Canada 20.11 team score

Status Complete Switzerland 2-1 Canada

Switzerland

Score 22.04 weighted

xG 1.30

CS 34.3%

xGC 1.14

SOT 4.65

YC 1.43

Canada

Score 20.11 weighted

xG 1.14

CS 27.7%

xGC 1.30

SOT 4.08

YC 1.59

Switzerland expected goals

0 27.3%

1 35.4%

2 Actual23.0%

3 10.0%

4 3.2%

5 0.8%

6+ 0.2%

Canada expected goals

0 32.0%

1 Actual36.5%

2 20.8%

3 7.9%

4 2.3%

5 0.5%

6+ 0.1%

Switzerland goals conceded

0 32.0%

1 36.5%

2 20.8%

3 7.9%

4 2.3%

5 0.5%

6+ 0.1%

Canada goals conceded

0 27.3%

1 35.4%

2 23.0%

3 10.0%

4 3.2%

5 0.8%

6+ 0.2%

Switzerland scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.30	72.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.17	69.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.34	34.3%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.14	68.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.94	94.7%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	4.65	99.0%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	15.43	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	7.15	99.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.43	76.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.15	13.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.13	12.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.2%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	3.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Canada scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.14	68.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.03	64.2%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.28	27.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.30	72.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.35	96.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	4.08	98.3%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	17.60	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	6.27	99.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.59	79.6%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.3%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.13	12.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.15	13.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.5%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	6.1%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	2.8%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box