Fixture 48 · MD2 · 2026-06-24 02:00

Colombia vs Congo DR

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.47 combined

Actual goals 1 Colombia 1-0 Congo DR

Opportunity score 41.33 combined

Colombia 26.34 team score

Congo DR 14.99 team score

Status Complete Colombia 1-0 Congo DR

Colombia

Score 26.34 weighted

xG 1.75

CS 50.7%

xGC 0.72

SOT 5.45

YC 1.30

Congo DR

Score 14.99 weighted

xG 0.72

CS 19.2%

xGC 1.75

SOT 2.24

YC 1.53

Colombia expected goals

0 17.4%

1 Actual30.4%

2 26.6%

3 15.5%

4 6.8%

5 2.4%

6+ 0.9%

Congo DR expected goals

0 Actual48.7%

1 35.0%

2 12.6%

3 3.0%

4 0.5%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Colombia goals conceded

0 48.7%

1 35.0%

2 12.6%

3 3.0%

4 0.5%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Congo DR goals conceded

0 17.4%

1 30.4%

2 26.6%

3 15.5%

4 6.8%

5 2.4%

6+ 0.9%

Colombia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.75	82.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.57	79.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.51	50.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.72	51.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.52	78.2%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.45	99.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	8.96	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	9.62	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.30	72.7%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.20	18.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.08	7.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	3.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.2%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Congo DR scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.72	51.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.65	47.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.19	19.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.75	82.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.70	97.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.24	89.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	21.77	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.96	98.1%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.53	78.3%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.08	7.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.20	18.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	8.8%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box