Fixture 47 · MD2 · 2026-06-23 23:00

Panama vs Croatia

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.05 combined

Actual goals 1 Panama 0-1 Croatia

Opportunity score 48.08 combined

Panama 17.12 team score

Croatia 30.96 team score

Status Complete Panama 0-1 Croatia

Panama

Score 17.12 weighted

xG 0.91

CS 14.8%

xGC 2.14

SOT 2.68

YC 1.45

Croatia

Score 30.96 weighted

xG 2.14

CS 42.7%

xGC 0.91

SOT 6.33

YC 1.31

Panama expected goals

0 Actual40.3%

1 36.6%

2 16.7%

3 5.1%

4 1.2%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Croatia expected goals

0 11.6%

1 Actual25.0%

2 26.9%

3 19.3%

4 10.4%

5 4.5%

6+ 2.3%

Panama goals conceded

0 11.6%

1 25.0%

2 26.9%

3 19.3%

4 10.4%

5 4.5%

6+ 2.3%

Croatia goals conceded

0 40.3%

1 36.6%

2 16.7%

3 5.1%

4 1.2%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Panama scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.91	59.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.82	55.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.15	14.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	2.14	88.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.18	98.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.68	93.2%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	21.91	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.00	99.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.45	76.5%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.08	8.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.20	17.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	9.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.8%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Croatia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.14	88.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.93	85.6%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.43	42.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.91	59.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.77	83.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.33	99.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	9.28	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	11.82	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.31	73.0%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.20	17.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.08	8.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	3.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box