Fixture 45 · MD2 · 2026-06-23 17:00

Portugal vs Uzbekistan

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.38 combined

Actual goals 5 Portugal 5-0 Uzbekistan

Opportunity score 50.65 combined

Portugal 38.54 team score

Uzbekistan 12.11 team score

Status Complete Portugal 5-0 Uzbekistan

Portugal

Score 38.54 weighted

xG 2.77

CS 60.7%

xGC 0.61

SOT 7.41

YC 1.05

Uzbekistan

Score 12.11 weighted

xG 0.61

CS 8.4%

xGC 2.77

SOT 1.62

YC 1.89

Portugal expected goals

0 6.0%

1 16.9%

2 23.8%

3 22.3%

4 15.6%

5 Actual8.8%

6+ 6.6%

Uzbekistan expected goals

0 Actual54.3%

1 33.1%

2 10.1%

3 2.1%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Portugal goals conceded

0 54.3%

1 33.1%

2 10.1%

3 2.1%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Uzbekistan goals conceded

0 6.0%

1 16.9%

2 23.8%

3 22.3%

4 15.6%

5 8.8%

6+ 6.6%

Portugal scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.77	94.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	2.51	92.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.61	60.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.61	45.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.01	63.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	7.41	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	4.93	99.3%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	15.28	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.05	65.0%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.6%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.23	20.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	0.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.02	2.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.8%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Uzbekistan scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.61	45.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.55	42.2%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.08	8.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.77	94.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.62	99.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.62	80.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	22.71	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.36	96.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.89	84.9%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.6%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.05	4.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.23	20.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.11	10.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box