Fixture 44 · MD2 · 2026-06-23 03:00

Jordan vs Algeria

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.70 combined

Actual goals 3 Jordan 1-2 Algeria

Opportunity score 44.85 combined

Jordan 16.50 team score

Algeria 28.34 team score

Status Complete Jordan 1-2 Algeria

Jordan

Score 16.50 weighted

xG 0.80

CS 16.7%

xGC 1.90

SOT 2.29

YC 1.67

Algeria

Score 28.34 weighted

xG 1.90

CS 46.8%

xGC 0.80

SOT 5.44

YC 1.25

Jordan expected goals

0 44.9%

1 Actual35.9%

2 14.4%

3 3.8%

4 0.8%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Algeria expected goals

0 15.0%

1 28.4%

2 Actual27.0%

3 17.1%

4 8.1%

5 3.1%

6+ 1.3%

Jordan goals conceded

0 15.0%

1 28.4%

2 27.0%

3 17.1%

4 8.1%

5 3.1%

6+ 1.3%

Algeria goals conceded

0 44.9%

1 35.9%

2 14.4%

3 3.8%

4 0.8%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Jordan scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.80	55.1%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.72	51.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.17	16.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.90	85.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.54	97.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.29	89.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	24.77	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.40	98.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.67	81.2%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.08	8.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.20	17.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	8.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.8%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Algeria scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.90	85.0%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.71	81.9%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.47	46.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.80	55.1%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.49	77.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.44	99.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.44	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.45	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.25	71.3%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.20	17.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.08	8.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	3.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box