Fixture 43 · MD2 · 2026-06-23 00:00

Norway vs Senegal

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.73 combined

Actual goals 5 Norway 3-2 Senegal

Opportunity score 44.68 combined

Norway 23.94 team score

Senegal 20.75 team score

Status Complete Norway 3-2 Senegal

Norway

Score 23.94 weighted

xG 1.50

CS 30.6%

xGC 1.23

SOT 4.82

YC 1.32

Senegal

Score 20.75 weighted

xG 1.23

CS 24.9%

xGC 1.50

SOT 3.95

YC 1.67

Norway expected goals

0 22.3%

1 33.5%

2 25.1%

3 Actual12.6%

4 4.7%

5 1.4%

6+ 0.4%

Senegal expected goals

0 29.2%

1 36.0%

2 Actual22.1%

3 9.1%

4 2.8%

5 0.7%

6+ 0.2%

Norway goals conceded

0 29.2%

1 36.0%

2 22.1%

3 9.1%

4 2.8%

5 0.7%

6+ 0.2%

Senegal goals conceded

0 22.3%

1 33.5%

2 25.1%

3 12.6%

4 4.7%

5 1.4%

6+ 0.4%

Norway scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.50	77.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.35	74.1%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.31	30.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.23	70.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.72	93.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	4.82	99.2%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	14.61	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.25	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.32	73.3%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.15	14.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.13	11.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	2.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	3.2%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Senegal scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.23	70.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.11	66.9%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.25	24.9%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.50	77.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.32	96.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.95	98.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	17.82	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	6.76	99.9%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.67	81.2%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.13	11.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.15	14.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	6.5%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.03	2.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box