Fixture 41 · MD2 · 2026-06-22 17:00

Argentina vs Austria

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.69 combined

Actual goals 2 Argentina 2-0 Austria

Opportunity score 44.32 combined

Argentina 28.87 team score

Austria 15.45 team score

Status Complete Argentina 2-0 Austria

Argentina

Score 28.87 weighted

xG 1.93

CS 48.2%

xGC 0.76

SOT 5.81

YC 1.03

Austria

Score 15.45 weighted

xG 0.76

CS 16.7%

xGC 1.93

SOT 2.29

YC 2.05

Argentina expected goals

0 14.5%

1 28.0%

2 Actual27.0%

3 17.4%

4 8.4%

5 3.2%

6+ 1.4%

Austria expected goals

0 Actual46.8%

1 35.5%

2 13.5%

3 3.4%

4 0.7%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Argentina goals conceded

0 46.8%

1 35.5%

2 13.5%

3 3.4%

4 0.7%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Austria goals conceded

0 14.5%

1 28.0%

2 27.0%

3 17.4%

4 8.4%

5 3.2%

6+ 1.4%

Argentina scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.93	85.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.73	82.4%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.48	48.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.76	53.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.53	78.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.81	99.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	9.43	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.61	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.03	64.3%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.6%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.20	18.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.08	7.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.2%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Austria scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.76	53.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.68	49.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.17	16.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.93	85.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.89	98.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.29	89.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	23.94	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.18	98.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	2.05	87.3%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.8%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.08	7.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.20	18.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	8.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box