Fixture 40 · MD2 · 2026-06-22 01:00

New Zealand vs Egypt

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.63 combined

Actual goals 4 New Zealand 1-3 Egypt

Opportunity score 44.39 combined

New Zealand 17.19 team score

Egypt 27.19 team score

Status Complete New Zealand 1-3 Egypt

New Zealand

Score 17.19 weighted

xG 0.84

CS 19.2%

xGC 1.79

SOT 2.71

YC 1.38

Egypt

Score 27.19 weighted

xG 1.79

CS 45.3%

xGC 0.84

SOT 5.76

YC 1.38

New Zealand expected goals

0 43.2%

1 Actual36.3%

2 15.2%

3 4.3%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Egypt expected goals

0 16.7%

1 29.9%

2 26.7%

3 Actual16.0%

4 7.1%

5 2.6%

6+ 1.0%

New Zealand goals conceded

0 16.7%

1 29.9%

2 26.7%

3 16.0%

4 7.1%

5 2.6%

6+ 1.0%

Egypt goals conceded

0 43.2%

1 36.3%

2 15.2%

3 4.3%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

New Zealand scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.84	56.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.76	53.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.19	19.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.79	83.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.97	98.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.71	93.3%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	22.74	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.62	99.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.38	74.8%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.09	8.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.19	17.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.2%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	7.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Egypt scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.79	83.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.61	80.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.45	45.3%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.84	56.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.87	84.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.76	99.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.68	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	9.84	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.38	74.8%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.19	17.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.09	8.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.5%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box