Fixture 39 · MD2 · 2026-06-21 22:00

Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.44 combined

Actual goals 4 Uruguay 2-2 Cape Verde Islands

Opportunity score 41.54 combined

Uruguay 27.65 team score

Cape Verde Islands 13.89 team score

Status Complete Uruguay 2-2 Cape Verde Islands

Uruguay

Score 27.65 weighted

xG 1.84

CS 56.8%

xGC 0.60

SOT 6.16

YC 1.35

Cape Verde Islands

Score 13.89 weighted

xG 0.60

CS 17.8%

xGC 1.84

SOT 2.01

YC 1.84

Uruguay expected goals

0 15.9%

1 29.2%

2 Actual26.9%

3 16.5%

4 7.6%

5 2.8%

6+ 1.1%

Cape Verde Islands expected goals

0 54.9%

1 32.9%

2 Actual9.9%

3 2.0%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Uruguay goals conceded

0 54.9%

1 32.9%

2 9.9%

3 2.0%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Cape Verde Islands goals conceded

0 15.9%

1 29.2%

2 26.9%

3 16.5%

4 7.6%

5 2.8%

6+ 1.1%

Uruguay scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.84	84.1%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.65	80.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.57	56.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.60	45.1%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.41	75.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.16	99.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	7.75	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.12	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.35	74.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.21	19.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.07	6.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.2%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	2.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Cape Verde Islands scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.60	45.1%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.54	41.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.18	17.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.84	84.1%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.32	98.7%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.01	86.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	23.76	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.30	96.3%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.84	84.1%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.07	6.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.21	19.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.5%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	8.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.5%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box