Fixture 38 · MD2 · 2026-06-21 19:00

Belgium vs Iran

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.85 combined

Actual goals 0 Belgium 0-0 Iran

Opportunity score 46.24 combined

Belgium 30.54 team score

Iran 15.70 team score

Status Complete Belgium 0-0 Iran

Belgium

Score 30.54 weighted

xG 2.08

CS 48.5%

xGC 0.77

SOT 6.55

YC 1.33

Iran

Score 15.70 weighted

xG 0.77

CS 14.7%

xGC 2.08

SOT 2.42

YC 1.80

Belgium expected goals

0 Actual12.4%

1 25.9%

2 27.0%

3 18.8%

4 9.8%

5 4.1%

6+ 2.0%

Iran expected goals

0 Actual46.3%

1 35.7%

2 13.7%

3 3.5%

4 0.7%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Belgium goals conceded

0 46.3%

1 35.7%

2 13.7%

3 3.5%

4 0.7%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Iran goals conceded

0 12.4%

1 25.9%

2 27.0%

3 18.8%

4 9.8%

5 4.1%

6+ 2.0%

Belgium scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.08	87.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.88	84.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.49	48.5%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.77	53.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.65	80.8%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.55	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	8.66	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	11.49	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.33	73.6%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.20	18.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.08	7.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Iran scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.77	53.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.69	50.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.15	14.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.08	87.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.46	98.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.42	91.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	23.50	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.24	98.6%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.80	83.5%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.08	7.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.20	18.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	8.5%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.6%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box