Fixture 37 · MD2 · 2026-06-21 16:00

Spain vs Saudi Arabia

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.67 combined

Actual goals 4 Spain 4-0 Saudi Arabia

Opportunity score 55.62 combined

Spain 43.20 team score

Saudi Arabia 12.42 team score

Status Complete Spain 4-0 Saudi Arabia

Spain

Score 43.20 weighted

xG 3.10

CS 64.5%

xGC 0.57

SOT 8.47

YC 0.72

Saudi Arabia

Score 12.42 weighted

xG 0.57

CS 6.0%

xGC 3.10

SOT 1.54

YC 1.68

Spain expected goals

0 4.2%

1 13.3%

2 21.1%

3 22.3%

4 Actual17.7%

5 11.2%

6+ 10.2%

Saudi Arabia expected goals

0 Actual56.6%

1 32.2%

2 9.2%

3 1.7%

4 0.2%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Spain goals conceded

0 56.6%

1 32.2%

2 9.2%

3 1.7%

4 0.2%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Saudi Arabia goals conceded

0 4.2%

1 13.3%

2 21.1%

3 22.3%

4 17.7%

5 11.2%

6+ 10.2%

Spain scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	3.10	95.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	2.81	94.2%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.65	64.5%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.57	43.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	0.97	62.2%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	8.47	100.0%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	4.51	98.9%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	16.95	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	0.72	51.3%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.04	4.3%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.24	21.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.04	4.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	0.7%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.02	2.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	5.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Saudi Arabia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.57	43.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.51	40.1%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.06	6.0%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	3.10	95.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	5.38	99.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.54	78.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	25.05	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.14	95.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.68	81.4%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.04	4.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.24	21.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	4.0%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.11	10.5%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	0.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box