Fixture 36 · MD2 · 2026-06-21 04:00

Tunisia vs Japan

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.59 combined

Actual goals 4 Tunisia 0-4 Japan

Opportunity score 43.03 combined

Tunisia 15.07 team score

Japan 27.96 team score

Status Complete Tunisia 0-4 Japan

Tunisia

Score 15.07 weighted

xG 0.73

CS 17.8%

xGC 1.86

SOT 2.18

YC 1.80

Japan

Score 27.96 weighted

xG 1.86

CS 51.8%

xGC 0.73

SOT 5.55

YC 1.06

Tunisia expected goals

0 Actual48.2%

1 35.2%

2 12.8%

3 3.1%

4 0.6%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Japan expected goals

0 15.6%

1 29.0%

2 26.9%

3 16.7%

4 Actual7.8%

5 2.9%

6+ 1.2%

Tunisia goals conceded

0 15.6%

1 29.0%

2 26.9%

3 16.7%

4 7.8%

5 2.9%

6+ 1.2%

Japan goals conceded

0 48.2%

1 35.2%

2 12.8%

3 3.1%

4 0.6%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Tunisia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.73	51.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.66	48.2%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.18	17.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.86	84.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.69	97.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.18	88.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	23.02	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.01	98.2%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.80	83.5%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.08	7.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.20	18.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	8.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Japan scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.86	84.4%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.67	81.3%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.52	51.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.73	51.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.45	76.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.55	99.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	9.04	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.23	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.06	65.4%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.7%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.20	18.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.08	7.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.2%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box