Fixture 35 · MD2 · 2026-06-21 00:00

Ecuador vs Curaçao

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.17 combined

Actual goals 0 Ecuador 0-0 Curaçao

Opportunity score 50.80 combined

Ecuador 37.14 team score

Curaçao 13.66 team score

Status Complete Ecuador 0-0 Curaçao

Ecuador

Score 37.14 weighted

xG 2.61

CS 63.0%

xGC 0.56

SOT 7.80

YC 1.33

Curaçao

Score 13.66 weighted

xG 0.56

CS 9.2%

xGC 2.61

SOT 1.67

YC 1.94

Ecuador expected goals

0 Actual7.1%

1 18.8%

2 24.9%

3 21.9%

4 14.4%

5 7.6%

6+ 5.2%

Curaçao expected goals

0 Actual57.1%

1 32.0%

2 9.0%

3 1.7%

4 0.2%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Ecuador goals conceded

0 57.1%

1 32.0%

2 9.0%

3 1.7%

4 0.2%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Curaçao goals conceded

0 7.1%

1 18.8%

2 24.9%

3 21.9%

4 14.4%

5 7.6%

6+ 5.2%

Ecuador scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.61	92.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	2.36	90.7%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.63	63.0%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.56	42.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.11	67.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	7.80	100.0%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	5.99	99.7%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	14.43	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.33	73.6%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.23	20.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.05	4.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	0.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	2.5%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.8%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Curaçao scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.56	42.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.50	39.6%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.09	9.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.61	92.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	5.19	99.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.67	81.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	28.03	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.08	95.4%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.94	85.8%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.7%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.05	4.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.23	20.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.12	11.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box