Fixture 34 · MD2 · 2026-06-20 20:00

Germany vs Ivory Coast

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.22 combined

Actual goals 3 Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast

Opportunity score 49.71 combined

Germany 31.77 team score

Ivory Coast 17.94 team score

Status Complete Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast

Germany

Score 31.77 weighted

xG 2.21

CS 38.4%

xGC 1.01

SOT 6.21

YC 1.27

Ivory Coast

Score 17.94 weighted

xG 1.01

CS 13.9%

xGC 2.21

SOT 2.83

YC 1.89

Germany expected goals

0 10.9%

1 24.1%

2 Actual26.8%

3 19.8%

4 11.0%

5 4.9%

6+ 2.6%

Ivory Coast expected goals

0 36.4%

1 Actual36.8%

2 18.6%

3 6.3%

4 1.6%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.1%

Germany goals conceded

0 36.4%

1 36.8%

2 18.6%

3 6.3%

4 1.6%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.1%

Ivory Coast goals conceded

0 10.9%

1 24.1%

2 26.8%

3 19.8%

4 11.0%

5 4.9%

6+ 2.6%

Germany scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.21	89.1%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.99	86.4%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.38	38.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.01	63.6%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.82	83.7%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.21	99.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.25	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	12.20	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.27	71.9%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.9%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.19	17.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.09	8.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.5%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	4.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Ivory Coast scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.01	63.6%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.91	59.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.14	13.9%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.21	89.1%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.99	98.2%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.83	94.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	22.52	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.55	99.6%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.89	84.9%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.6%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.09	8.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.19	17.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.2%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	9.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box